Svay Rieng Stadium · Analysis updated 09:18 UTC
Svay Rieng vs Life Sihanoukville Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Svay Rieng and 0.85 for Life Sihanoukville, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Svay Rieng the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Svay Rieng win
67.7% probability
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Svay Rieng home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Life Sihanoukville away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Svay Rieng to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 19% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Svay Rieng and 0.85 for Life Sihanoukville, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.5%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–08.3%
Recent form
Svay Rieng
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Visakha · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Boeung Ket · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Shanghai Shenhua · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Johor Darul Takzim FC · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dangkor Senchey · 1-1 (D)
Life Sihanoukville
- 2026-10-25T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Phnom Penh Crown · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kompong Dewa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NagaWorld · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-09T08:45:00.000Z · A vs Kirivong Sok Sen Chey · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-10T11:00:00.000Z · Svay Rieng 4-1 Life Sihanoukville (C-League)
- 2025-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · Svay Rieng 6-1 Life Sihanoukville (C-League)
- 2025-02-09T11:00:00.000Z · Svay Rieng 3-1 Life Sihanoukville (C-League)
- 2024-11-27T11:00:00.000Z · Svay Rieng 2-0 Life Sihanoukville (C-League)
C-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | NagaWorld | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Svay Rieng | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | Angkor Tiger | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Phnom Penh Crown | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Dangkor Senchey | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Kompong Dewa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Life Sihanoukville | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 10 | Boeung Ket | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | National Defense | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Svay Rieng win, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.