Netherlands · Derde Divisie - Sunday · Group B - 3012:30

0 – 2

Saturday, 18 April 2026

KloetingeWDWWW

Sportpark Houtrust · Analysis updated 03:42 UTC

SVV Scheveningen vs Kloetinge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for SVV Scheveningen and 2.04 for Kloetinge, a combined total of 3.34. That distribution gives Kloetinge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kloetinge win

54.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 2.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SVV Scheveningen home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kloetinge away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kloetinge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 24% / 21% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for SVV Scheveningen and 2.04 for Kloetinge, a combined 3.34 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SVV Scheveningen win24%
Draw21%
Kloetinge win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–29.6%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 1–36.5%

Recent form

SVV Scheveningen

  • 2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dongen · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Dongen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Lisse · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Blauw Geel · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs ASWH · 2-2 (D)

Kloetinge

  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Koninklijke HFC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs HHC · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ROHDA Raalte · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Achilles Veen · 8-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Derde Divisie - Sunday table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kloetinge3422752573
2FC Lisse3420863468
3Vvsb3421583368
4Rijnvogels3419782464
5Gemert34171072561
6Roosendaal34159101354
7TOGB3415811353
8Zwaluwen34156131351
9Blauw Geel3414614248
10Noordwijk3412814544
11UDI '193411617-1739
12UNA3410816-838
13GOES3410717-1837
14Groene Ster3410618-1936
15SteDoCo3410420-3434
16SVV Scheveningen349520-1632
17Meerssen348719-2331
18ASWH346721-4225

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kloetinge win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.