· Analysis updated 13:52 UTC
Sydkysten vs Ishøj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Sydkysten and 1.49 for Ishøj, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Sydkysten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sydkysten win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sydkysten home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ishøj away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sydkysten to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Sydkysten and 1.49 for Ishøj, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–16.3%
Recent form
Sydkysten
- 2026-08-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ishøj · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-03-28T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fredensborg BI · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-20T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gladsaxe · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Skovshoved · 3-3 (D)
Ishøj
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringsted · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vanløse · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sydkysten win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.