Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 2414:00
Syrianska FCWLLWL

5 – 2

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Lindo FFLLLWL

Sodertalje Fotbollsarena · Analysis updated 13:26 UTC

Syrianska FC vs Lindo FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Syrianska FC and 1.25 for Lindo FF, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Syrianska FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Syrianska FC win

55.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Lindo FF away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Syrianska FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.03 goals for Syrianska FC and 1.25 for Lindo FF, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Syrianska FC win55%
Draw21%
Lindo FF win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 3–16.5%

Recent form

Syrianska FC

    Lindo FF

    • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Syrianska FC · 2-5 (L)
    • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eker Örebro · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Forward · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rågsved · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyköping · 0-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Farsta2616462552
    2Sleipner2615651951
    3Nyköping2614481646
    4Forward2613671545
    5Rågsved2613671145
    6Haninge2613581244
    7Smedby2610610336
    8Fittja2611312036
    9Örebro Syrianska2610412134
    10Karlslund268711-631
    11Nacka Iliria269314-1630
    12Syrianska FC267514-1726
    13Lindo FF266218-2020
    14Eker Örebro265318-4318

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Syrianska FC win, at 55.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

    A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.