· Analysis updated 12:14 UTC
Syunik vs FC Noah Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Syunik and 2.87 for FC Noah, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives FC Noah the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
FC Noah win
82.6% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 2.87
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
FC Noah away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Noah to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 6% / 12% / 83% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.65 goals for Syunik and 2.87 for FC Noah, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
17%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–212.2%
- 0–311.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–48.4%
- 1–27.9%
Recent form
Syunik
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ararat · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ararat-Armenia · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyunik Yerevan · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-31T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sardarapat · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sardarapat · 1-1 (D)
FC Noah
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sardarapat · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Batumi · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Van · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Urartu · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gandzasar · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Pyunik Yerevan | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 3 | Ararat-Armenia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Alashkert | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | FC Urartu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Sardarapat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Shirak | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 9 | BKMA | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 10 | Van | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 11 | Syunik | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
| 12 | Gandzasar | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Noah win, at 82.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.