Szent Gellert Forum · Analysis updated 20:22 UTC
Szeged 2011 vs Gyirmot SE Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Szeged 2011 and 1.65 for Gyirmot SE, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Gyirmot SE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gyirmot SE win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Szeged 2011 home form
1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Gyirmot SE away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.9%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.8%
Recent form
Szeged 2011
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kecskeméti TE · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iváncsa · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Csakvar · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-31T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Kazincbarcikai · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kozarmisleny FC · 2-1 (W)
Gyirmot SE
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Szentlőrinc SE · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Csakvar · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karcag SE · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 0-1 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2025-04-06T15:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 1-0 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2024-09-29T15:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 1-1 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2024-02-18T13:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 0-0 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2023-08-16T17:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 1-1 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2023-05-14T15:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 3-0 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2022-11-26T12:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 1-0 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2021-03-07T13:30:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 0-0 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2020-10-21T15:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 0-1 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
- 2020-02-09T16:00:00.000Z · Szeged 2011 0-0 Gyirmot SE (NB II)
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Tiszakecske FC | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Kazincbarcikai | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Gyirmot SE | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Ajka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Diosgyori VTK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Szentlőrinc SE | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Fehérvár FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | BVSC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Karcag SE | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Szeged 2011 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny FC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Csakvar | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gyirmot SE win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.