Tiszaligeti Stadion · Analysis updated 22:34 UTC
Szolnoki MAV FC vs Monori Se Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Szolnoki MAV FC and 2.03 for Monori Se, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Monori Se the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.3% probability
Expected goals
1.97 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Szolnoki MAV FC home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Monori Se away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Monori Se to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 39% / 21% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.97 goals for Szolnoki MAV FC and 2.03 for Monori Se, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.4%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–35.0%
Recent form
Szolnoki MAV FC
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyulai Termál · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Újpest II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Monori Se · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárom · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Honvéd II · 1-0 (W)
Monori Se
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyulai Termál · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bekescsaba 1912 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Újpest II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sándorfalva · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 39 |
| 2 | ESMTK | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | III. Kerületi TUE | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Szeged-Csanád II | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Csepel | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Vasas II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Újpest II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Monori Se | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Dabas | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Honvéd II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Sándorfalva | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 11 |
| 14 | Hódmezővásárhely | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 | Szegedi VSE | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -19 | 9 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -30 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.