Táborsko II vs Petřín Plzeň Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Táborsko II and 0.85 for Petřín Plzeň, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Táborsko II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Táborsko II win

58.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Táborsko II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Petřín Plzeň away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Táborsko II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 23% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Táborsko II and 0.85 for Petřín Plzeň, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Táborsko II win59%

Draw23%

Petřín Plzeň win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–013.0%
2–011.4%
1–111.0%
2–19.7%
0–07.4%

Recent form

Táborsko II

2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-3 (L)

Petřín Plzeň

2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-03-28T09:15:00.000Z · Táborsko II 0-1 Petřín Plzeň (3. liga - CFL A)
2025-08-31T15:00:00.000Z · Táborsko II 1-0 Petřín Plzeň (3. liga - CFL A)
2025-05-18T15:00:00.000Z · Táborsko II 2-1 Petřín Plzeň (3. liga - CFL A)
2024-10-05T08:15:00.000Z · Táborsko II 0-1 Petřín Plzeň (3. liga - CFL A)

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	8	1	2	12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	7	2	1	19	23
3	Křimice	11	7	2	2	8	23
4	Hořovicko	11	6	2	3	5	20
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	5	4	1	8	19
6	Komárov	10	5	4	1	7	19
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	5	2	3	6	17
8	Táborsko II	10	4	4	2	5	16
9	Doubravka	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	4	0	6	-6	12
11	Rokycany	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Strakonice	10	2	1	7	-14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	10	2	0	8	-7	6
14	Nyrsko	10	1	1	8	-21	4
15	Milevsko	10	0	2	8	-12	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Táborsko II win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.