Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 1509:15
Táborsko IIDDWLL

09:15 UTC

Saturday, 14 November 2026

RokycanyLWLLL

Fotbalove hriste Svepomoc · Analysis updated 14:37 UTC

Táborsko II vs Rokycany Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Táborsko II and 0.85 for Rokycany, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Táborsko II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Táborsko II win

63.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.97 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Táborsko II home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rokycany away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Táborsko II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 21% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.97 goals for Táborsko II and 0.85 for Rokycany, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Táborsko II win63%
Draw21%
Rokycany win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–011.5%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 3–07.6%

Recent form

Táborsko II

  • 2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-3 (L)

Rokycany

  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Petřín Plzeň118121225
2Spartak Pribram107211923
3Křimice11722823
4Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
5Komárov9540819
6Hořovicko10523417
7Spartak Soběslav9513616
8Táborsko II10442516
9Slavoj Český Krumlov10406-612
10Doubravka10325-211
11Rokycany10316-910
12Strakonice9216-87
13Jiskra Domažlice II9108-133
14Nyrsko9108-213
15Milevsko9027-112

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Táborsko II win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.