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Friday, 2 October 2026

· Analysis updated 15:29 UTC

Táborsko vs Vlašim Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Táborsko and 2.43 for Vlašim, a combined total of 4.20. That distribution gives Vlašim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Vlašim win

52.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.78 – 2.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Táborsko home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Vlašim away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Vlašim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 28% / 19% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.78 goals for Táborsko and 2.43 for Vlašim, a combined 4.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Táborsko win28%
Draw19%
Vlašim win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–16.5%
  • 1–36.3%
  • 2–15.7%

Recent form

Táborsko

  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vlašim · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vlašim · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 3-3 (D)

Vlašim

  • 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Vlašim win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.