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Saturday, 18 July 2026

· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC

Táborsko vs WSPG Wels Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Táborsko and 2.20 for WSPG Wels, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives WSPG Wels the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

WSPG Wels win

52.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 2.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Táborsko home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • WSPG Wels away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates WSPG Wels to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 27% / 20% / 53% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Táborsko and 2.20 for WSPG Wels, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Táborsko win27%
Draw20%
WSPG Wels win53%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–36.5%
  • 2–16.2%

Recent form

Táborsko

  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vlašim · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vlašim · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 3-3 (D)

WSPG Wels

  • 2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Voitsberg · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Salzburg · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is WSPG Wels win, at 52.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.