· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC
Täfteå vs IFK Östersund Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.64 expected goals for Täfteå and 1.23 for IFK Östersund, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Täfteå the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.
Model pick
Täfteå to Win
67.4% probability
Expected goals
2.64 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–16.8%
- 3–06.4%
Why the model likes this
Täfteå home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Täfteå to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 17% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.64 goals for Täfteå and 1.23 for IFK Östersund, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Täfteå
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kubikenborg · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Skellefteå · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Boden · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gottne · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå FC · 0-1 (L)
IFK Östersund
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norrland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 8 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -28 | 4 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.