· Analysis updated 22:55 UTC
Talleres Córdoba Res. vs Aldosivi Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 1.10 for Aldosivi Res., a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Talleres Córdoba Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Talleres Córdoba Res. win
47.7% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Aldosivi Res. away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Talleres Córdoba Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 1.10 for Aldosivi Res., a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–17.8%
Recent form
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Aldosivi Res.
- 2026-10-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Banfield Res. · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosario Central Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tigre Res. · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Lorenzo Res. · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Quilmes 2 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Talleres Córdoba Res. win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.