· Analysis updated 22:06 UTC
Talleres Córdoba Res. vs Barracas Central Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 0.57 for Barracas Central Res., a combined total of 2.09. That distribution gives Talleres Córdoba Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Talleres Córdoba Res. win
60.4% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Barracas Central Res. away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Talleres Córdoba Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 26% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 0.57 for Barracas Central Res., a combined 2.09 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 34%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.7%
- 2–014.2%
- 0–012.3%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.2%
Recent form
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Barracas Central Res.
- 2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Riestra Res. · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Instituto Res. · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-09T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Talleres Córdoba Res. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Banfield Res. · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Talleres Córdoba Res. win, at 60.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.