· Analysis updated 02:37 UTC
Talleres Córdoba Res. vs Rosario Central Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 0.93 for Rosario Central Res., a combined total of 2.28. That distribution gives Talleres Córdoba Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Talleres Córdoba Res. win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rosario Central Res. away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Talleres Córdoba Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 28% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Talleres Córdoba Res. and 0.93 for Rosario Central Res., a combined 2.28 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.8%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.2%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–09.3%
Recent form
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Rosario Central Res.
- 2026-10-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentinos Juniors Res. · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Unión Santa Fe Res. · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Newell's Old Boys Res. · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Talleres Córdoba Res. win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.