Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 1120:00

20:00 UTC

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes · Analysis updated 08:08 UTC

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.35 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Belgrano Cordoba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Belgrano Cordoba win

47.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Talleres Cordoba win24%
Draw28%
Belgrano Cordoba win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 0–114.6%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–09.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Talleres Cordoba home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Belgrano Cordoba away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Belgrano Cordoba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 24% / 28% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.88 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.35 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined 2.22 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Talleres Cordoba

  • 2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Lanus · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-03T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Platense · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Velez Sarsfield · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Newells Old Boys · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Tucuman · 0-3 (L)

Belgrano Cordoba

  • 2026-08-15T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Independ. Rivadavia · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-10T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Banfield · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T00:15:00.000Z · A vs Tigre · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Argentinos JRS · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T22:30:00.000Z · H vs Rosario Central · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
2Boca Juniors168621330
3Velez Sarsfield16772628
4Talleres Cordoba16754426
5Independiente16664424
6Lanus16664324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
2River Plate169251029
3Argentinos JRS16853429
4Rosario Central16844428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574422
8Racing Club16565221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
1Velez Sarsfield4310410
2Instituto Cordoba430129
3Newells Old Boys521217
4Defensa Y Justicia4211-17
5Estudiantes L.P.520326
6Lanus420226
7Deportivo Riestra520316
8Independiente420216
9Gimnasia M.420216
10Central Cordoba de Santiago4202-16
11Boca Juniors5131-26
12San Lorenzo5203-26
13Platense5122-45
14Union Santa Fe5113-34
15Talleres Cordoba4103-23
1Argentinos JRS4400612
2Belgrano Cordoba5311410
3Barracas Central430119
4Gimnasia L.P.5302-19
5Tigre522128
6Huracan421127
7Rosario Central421117
8Independ. Rivadavia5212-17
9Banfield5212-17
10Sarmiento Junin420206
11Atletico Tucuman412115
12Racing Club5113-34
13Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4112-34
14Aldosivi5023-32
15River Plate4004-40

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.