Tampines Stadium · Referee M. Pagira · Analysis updated 14:43 UTC
Tampines Rovers vs Geylang International Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Tampines Rovers and 1.71 for Geylang International, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Tampines Rovers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.2% probability
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tampines Rovers home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Geylang International away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.6%
Recent form
Tampines Rovers
- 2026-09-17T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Shanghai Shenhua · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Persib Bandung · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-28T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arema FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 2-2 (D)
Geylang International
- 2026-05-15T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Lions · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-02T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Home United · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-19T12:20:00.000Z · H vs Tanjong Pagar · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-11T11:30:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 4-3 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2026-01-23T11:30:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 3-1 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2025-08-24T11:30:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 0-0 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2025-04-04T11:45:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 3-1 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2024-10-29T11:45:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 3-0 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2024-07-24T11:45:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 2-2 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2024-05-17T11:45:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 4-4 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2023-11-04T10:00:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 3-1 Geylang International (Cup)
- 2023-07-22T10:00:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 2-3 Geylang International (Premier League)
- 2023-07-02T10:00:00.000Z · Tampines Rovers 1-1 Geylang International (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata S | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Geylang International | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Tampines Rovers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanjong Pagar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Home United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Hougang United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 7 | Balestier Khalsa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Young Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.