Tanta SC vs AL Nasr SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Tanta SC and 0.85 for AL Nasr SC, a combined total of 1.70. That distribution gives Tanta SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 33%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 33% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.85 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tanta SC home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
AL Nasr SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 34%, against 33% / 34% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.85 goals for Tanta SC and 0.85 for AL Nasr SC, a combined 1.70 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Tanta SC win33%

Draw34%

AL Nasr SC win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

66%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals51%

Over 2.5 goals24%

Over 3.5 goals9%

Both teams to score33%

Correct score

0–018.3%
0–115.5%
1–015.5%
1–113.2%
0–26.6%

Recent form

Tanta SC

2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dayrout · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ismaily SC · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Haras El Hodood · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs El Entag EL Harby · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs AL Nasr SC · 1-0 (W)

AL Nasr SC

2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs El Mansura · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Proxy · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs La Viena FC · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs El Seka El Hadid · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanta SC · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2018-01-13T17:30:00.000Z · Tanta SC 2-1 AL Nasr SC (Premier League)
2017-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · Tanta SC 0-0 AL Nasr SC (Premier League)

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Masar	10	7	1	2	11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	5	5	0	8	20
3	Itesalat	10	6	1	3	7	19
4	Pharco	10	6	1	3	4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	5	3	2	8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	5	3	2	5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	4	5	1	6	17
8	Tersana	10	4	5	1	5	17
9	El Mansura	10	5	2	3	2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	4	3	3	2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	3	3	4	0	12
12	Team	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	2	4	4	1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	2	4	4	-4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	2	4	4	-6	10
17	Proxy	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	1	4	5	-6	7
19	Dayrout	10	1	3	6	-16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	0	3	7	-11	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.