Tasmania Berlin vs Siedenbollentin Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Tasmania Berlin and 1.76 for Siedenbollentin, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Siedenbollentin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Siedenbollentin win

47.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.76

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tasmania Berlin home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Siedenbollentin away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Siedenbollentin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 30% / 23% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Tasmania Berlin and 1.76 for Siedenbollentin, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Tasmania Berlin win30%

Draw23%

Siedenbollentin win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–110.6%
1–29.3%
0–17.9%
2–17.1%
0–26.9%

Recent form

Tasmania Berlin

2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFC Preussen · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs BSG Chemie Leipzig · 2-5 (L)
2026-09-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs BFC Dynamo · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC · 0-2 (L)

Siedenbollentin

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Makkabi · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lok Stendal · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	9	6	1	2	6	19
2	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	5	2	2	4	17
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	5	0	4	8	15
4	BAK '07	8	4	3	1	3	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	4	2	3	5	14
6	Lichtenberg	9	4	2	3	2	14
7	Hansa Rostock II	9	3	4	2	8	13
8	Optik Rathenow	9	4	1	4	3	13
9	Anker Wismar	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Tennis Borussia	9	3	3	3	0	12
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	9	2	4	3	-3	10
12	Sparta Lichtenberg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	FC Lok Stendal	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Union Klosterfelde	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Makkabi	9	2	2	5	-12	8
16	Neustrelitz	8	2	0	6	-6	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Siedenbollentin win, at 47.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.