· Analysis updated 16:17 UTC
Tatran Prešov W vs Petržalka W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for Tatran Prešov W and 1.85 for Petržalka W, a combined total of 5.10. That distribution gives Tatran Prešov W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tatran Prešov W win
65.1% probability
Expected goals
3.25 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tatran Prešov W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tatran Prešov W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 15% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.25 goals for Tatran Prešov W and 1.85 for Petržalka W, a combined 5.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.5%
- 3–26.0%
- 2–16.0%
- 2–25.5%
- 4–15.2%
Recent form
Tatran Prešov W
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Trenčín W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)
Petržalka W
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-11 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 7-0 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 5-1 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2026-04-11T12:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 4-1 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2026-03-07T16:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 3-0 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 2-3 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-03-01T14:30:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 1-0 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-09-21T12:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 2-0 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-05-18T15:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 0-0 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-04-13T14:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 1-0 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-03-02T16:00:00.000Z · Tatran Prešov W 0-1 Petržalka W (I Liga - Women)
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tatran Prešov W win, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.