Slovakia · I Liga - Women · Matchweek 1313:30

13:30 UTC

Saturday, 14 November 2026

· Analysis updated 22:15 UTC

Tatran Prešov W vs Slovan Bratislava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Tatran Prešov W and 3.38 for Slovan Bratislava W, a combined total of 4.76. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Slovan Bratislava W win

75.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 3.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tatran Prešov W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slovan Bratislava W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slovan Bratislava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 12% / 13% / 75% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for Tatran Prešov W and 3.38 for Slovan Bratislava W, a combined 4.76 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Tatran Prešov W win12%
Draw13%
Slovan Bratislava W win75%

Double chance 1X

25%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals69%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–37.6%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 1–46.4%
  • 0–35.5%
  • 2–35.2%

Recent form

Tatran Prešov W

  • 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Trenčín W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)

Slovan Bratislava W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

I Liga - Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Myjava W1010006030
2Slovan Bratislava W109014027
3Trenčín W10613719
4Z. Moravce-Vrable W10505-215
5Komárno W10424-814
6Tatran Prešov W10415-313
7Spartak Trnava W10415-1413
8Ružomberok W10307-169
9Dukla Banská Bystrica W10118-284
10Petržalka W10109-363

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava W win, at 75.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.