Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie E · Group E - 1212:30

3 – 0

Sunday, 18 October 2026

BrumovLLWLL

· Analysis updated 16:50 UTC

Tatran Všechovice vs Brumov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Tatran Všechovice and 0.89 for Brumov, a combined total of 5.39. That distribution gives Tatran Všechovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 92%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 92% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tatran Všechovice win

91.8% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 0.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tatran Všechovice home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brumov away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tatran Všechovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 92%, against 92% / 5% / 3% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.50 goals for Tatran Všechovice and 0.89 for Brumov, a combined 5.39 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Tatran Všechovice win92%
Draw5%
Brumov win3%

Double chance 1X

97%

Double chance 12

95%

Double chance X2

8%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals75%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 4–07.8%
  • 5–07.0%
  • 4–16.9%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 5–16.2%

Recent form

Tatran Všechovice

  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Brumov · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 6-1 (W)

Brumov

  • 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Holešov · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie E table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tatran Všechovice1210023130
2Strání129122728
3Kozlovice117311524
4Slavičín12714722
5SK Krumvir11713522
6Sokol Lanžhot11713522
7Prostejov B12633421
8Šternberk12525217
9Holešov12444116
10Hluk11362615
11Břeclav12435015
12Bzenec11308-109
13Brumov11218-197
14Nové Sady11218-237
15Kroměříž II11137-126
16Baťov120012-390

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tatran Všechovice win, at 91.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 92% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.