Czech-Republic · Cup · Round of 6415:30

0 – 3

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Stadion TJ Tatran · Analysis updated 06:42 UTC

Tatran Všechovice vs Prostějov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Tatran Všechovice and 1.10 for Prostějov, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Tatran Všechovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tatran Všechovice win

69.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tatran Všechovice home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Prostějov away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tatran Všechovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Tatran Všechovice and 1.10 for Prostějov, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Tatran Všechovice win70%
Draw17%
Prostějov win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.2%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 3–07.2%
  • 1–17.1%

Recent form

Tatran Všechovice

  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Brumov · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 6-1 (W)

Prostějov

  • 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tatran Všechovice win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.