· Analysis updated 14:48 UTC
Taverne vs BSC Young Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Taverne and 1.72 for BSC Young Boys, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Taverne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Taverne win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Taverne home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
BSC Young Boys away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Taverne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Taverne and 1.72 for BSC Young Boys, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–16.2%
- 1–26.2%
Recent form
Taverne
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Thalwil · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Baden · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gossau · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Widnau · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Locarno · 0-0 (D)
BSC Young Boys
- 2026-10-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Aarau · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Servette FC · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lugano · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Luzern · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-01T18:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Zurich · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Taverne win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.