Taverne vs Dietikon Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Taverne and 1.58 for Dietikon, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Taverne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Taverne win

50.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Taverne home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dietikon away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Taverne to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for Taverne and 1.58 for Dietikon, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Taverne win50%

Draw21%

Dietikon win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

2–18.8%
1–18.3%
2–26.9%
1–26.5%
3–16.2%

Recent form

Taverne

2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Thalwil · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Baden · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gossau · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Widnau · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Locarno · 0-0 (D)

Dietikon

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Thalwil · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Baden · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gossau · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Taverne · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Locarno · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 3 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Gallen II	11	8	1	2	6	25
2	Tuggen	11	7	3	1	13	24
3	Taverne	11	6	3	2	13	21
4	Baden	11	6	1	4	10	19
5	Thalwil	11	5	4	2	6	19
6	Collina d'Oro	11	5	3	3	1	18
7	Kosova	11	4	5	2	3	17
8	Dietikon	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	Gossau	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Wettswil-Bonstetten	11	3	3	5	-2	12
11	Eschen / Mauren	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Locarno	11	2	5	4	-1	11
13	Freienbach	11	2	4	5	-5	10
14	Mendrisio	11	1	6	4	-4	9
15	Winterthur II	11	3	0	8	-10	9
16	Widnau	11	1	3	7	-19	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Taverne win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.