Serbia · Prva Liga · Matchweek 1817:00
TeleoptikLLWWL

17:00 UTC

Saturday, 14 November 2026

· Analysis updated 01:06 UTC

Teleoptik vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Teleoptik and 1.71 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Teleoptik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.71

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Teleoptik home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teleoptik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 22% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.78 goals for Teleoptik and 1.71 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Teleoptik win40%
Draw22%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–05.4%

Recent form

Teleoptik

  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Vršac · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grafičar · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borac Cacak · 1-2 (L)

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Grafičar · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Borac Cacak · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dubočica · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Naftagas · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Loznica · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prva Liga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1TSC Backa Topola159601933
2Javor158611930
3Borac Cacak15933730
4OFK Vršac15825426
5Semendrija 192415744625
6Dubočica15645-122
7Napredak15645-122
8Loznica15483-220
9FK Vozdovac15546119
10FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV15546-419
11Naftagas15465518
12Metalac GM15537-418
13Jedinstvo Ub15429-814
14Teleoptik15348-813
15Grafičar153210-1111
16OFK Bor 1919152211-228

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.