· Analysis updated 06:30 UTC
Teleoptik vs OFK Bor 1919 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Teleoptik and 0.96 for OFK Bor 1919, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Teleoptik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Teleoptik win
56.9% probability
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Teleoptik home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
OFK Bor 1919 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Teleoptik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 23% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for Teleoptik and 0.96 for OFK Bor 1919, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.4%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.4%
Odds vs model — value finder
Bookmaker prices with the margin removed (1X2 overround 12.2%), compared with our model probability.
No selection clears our 3-point edge threshold — the market looks efficiently priced.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Fair odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | No | 1.95 | 47.0% | 48.6% | 2.06 | +1.6 |
| Double chance | Draw/Away | 2.20 | 42.7% | 43.1% | 2.32 | +0.4 |
| Match result | Away | 4.50 | 19.8% | 20.0% | 5.00 | +0.2 |
| Match result | Home | 1.57 | 56.8% | 56.9% | 1.76 | +0.1 |
| Double chance | Home/Away | 1.22 | 77.0% | 76.9% | 1.30 | -0.1 |
| Match result | Draw | 3.80 | 23.4% | 23.1% | 4.33 | -0.3 |
| Double chance | Home/Draw | 1.17 | 80.3% | 80.0% | 1.25 | -0.3 |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.73 | 53.0% | 51.4% | 1.95 | -1.6 |
Market % has the bookmaker margin removed so it is comparable with the model. Edge is model % minus market %; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Recent form
Teleoptik
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Vršac · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grafičar · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borac Cacak · 1-2 (L)
OFK Bor 1919
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Teleoptik · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalac GM · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Vršac · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Grafičar · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Borac Cacak · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSC Backa Topola | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Borac Cacak | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Javor | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 27 |
| 4 | Semendrija 1924 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | OFK Vršac | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Napredak | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Loznica | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Dubočica | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Metalac GM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Grafičar | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Teleoptik win, at 56.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.