Belgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · VFV B - 818:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

De KempenDWWLL

· Analysis updated 12:27 UTC

Tempo Overijse vs De Kempen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Tempo Overijse and 1.12 for De Kempen, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Tempo Overijse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tempo Overijse win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tempo Overijse home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tempo Overijse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.92 goals for Tempo Overijse and 1.12 for De Kempen, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Tempo Overijse win56%
Draw22%
De Kempen win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 3–16.3%

Recent form

Tempo Overijse

  • 2026-10-24T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Rotselaar · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs De Kempen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bocholt · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wellen · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Wilrijk · 3-2 (W)

De Kempen

  • 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Diegem Sport · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rupel Boom · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wilrijk · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - VFV B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tempo Overijse98011624
2De Kempen9432815
3Racing Mechelen9432515
4Royal Antwerp II9504415
5Hades9423514
6Eendracht Termien9423314
7Bocholt9423214
8Wilrijk9405012
9Rupel Boom8323-311
10Nijlen9324-811
11Sint-Truiden II8314-110
12Rotselaar9315-410
13Wellen9315-410
14Diegem Sport8233-49
15Cappellen9135-136
16Tongeren8053-65

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tempo Overijse win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.