Belgium · Cup · 3rd Round17:30

1 – 0

Saturday, 9 August 2025

Huy

Begijnhofstadion · Analysis updated 06:46 UTC

Tempo Overijse vs Huy Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Tempo Overijse and 1.26 for Huy, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Tempo Overijse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tempo Overijse win

53.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tempo Overijse home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Huy away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tempo Overijse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Tempo Overijse and 1.26 for Huy, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Tempo Overijse win54%
Draw22%
Huy win25%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 3–16.3%

Recent form

Tempo Overijse

  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tongeren · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Royal Antwerp II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Onhaye · 2-4 (L)

Huy

  • 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Jette · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dender110063
2Lokeren-Temse110053
3Albert Quévy-Mons110043
4Seraing United110033
5Liège110033
6Excelsior Virton110033
7Beerschot VA110023
8Nijlen110023
9Sporting Hasselt110023
10Lommel United110023
11Rochefort110013
12Patro Eisden110013
13AS Eupen110013
14Francs Borains110013
15Heist101001
16Kortrijk101001
17Habay-la-Neuve101001
18Olympic Charleroi101001
19K. Lierse S.K.1001-10
20Roeselare Daisel1001-10
21Diegem Sport1001-10
22Merelbeke1001-10
23Crossing Schaerbeek1001-20
24Mandel United1001-20
25Rupel Boom1001-20
26Diksmuide1001-20
27Knokke1001-30
28Wellen1001-30
29Oostkamp1001-30
30Londerzeel1001-40
31Houtvenne1001-50
32Hoogstraten1001-60

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tempo Overijse win, at 53.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.