· Analysis updated 18:26 UTC
Tempo Overijse vs Tongeren Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Tempo Overijse and 0.77 for Tongeren, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Tempo Overijse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tempo Overijse win
75.2% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 0.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tempo Overijse home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tongeren away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tempo Overijse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 15% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Tempo Overijse and 0.77 for Tongeren, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.9%
- 3–010.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.6%
Recent form
Tempo Overijse
- 2026-10-24T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Rotselaar · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs De Kempen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bocholt · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wellen · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Wilrijk · 3-2 (W)
Tongeren
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Overijse · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eendracht Termien · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Cappellen · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bocholt · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | De Kempen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Mechelen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Royal Antwerp II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Hades | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Eendracht Termien | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Bocholt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Wilrijk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Rupel Boom | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Nijlen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Rotselaar | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Wellen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Diegem Sport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cappellen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tongeren | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tempo Overijse win, at 75.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.