· Analysis updated 15:05 UTC
Tempo Praha vs Baník Sokolov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Tempo Praha and 1.48 for Baník Sokolov, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Baník Sokolov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.3% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tempo Praha home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Baník Sokolov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Baník Sokolov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 33% / 25% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Tempo Praha and 1.48 for Baník Sokolov, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–17.7%
Recent form
Tempo Praha
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Sokolov · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Psáry · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Velvary · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 1-2 (L)
Baník Sokolov
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brandýs nad Labem · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Hostouň · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Praha · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ostrov · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Újezd Praha 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Rapid Psáry | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Sokol Hostouň | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Slaný | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Baník Sokolov | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Brandýs nad Labem | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Štětí | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Karlovy Vary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Tempo Praha | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Meteor Praha | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Slovan Velvary | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 14 | Slavoj Vyšehrad | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 15 | Ostrov | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 16 | Ústí nad Labem II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.