· Analysis updated 01:23 UTC
Tempo Praha vs Slaný Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Tempo Praha and 1.60 for Slaný, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Tempo Praha the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tempo Praha home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slaný away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tempo Praha to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Tempo Praha and 1.60 for Slaný, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.1%
Recent form
Tempo Praha
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Sokolov · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Psáry · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Velvary · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 1-2 (L)
Slaný
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Meteor Praha · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Chomutov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Sokolov · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · Tempo Praha 1-2 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
- 2025-11-01T13:00:00.000Z · Tempo Praha 1-1 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
- 2025-03-08T13:30:00.000Z · Tempo Praha 2-2 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
- 2024-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · Tempo Praha 0-1 Slaný (4. liga - Divizie B)
4. liga - Divizie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Sokol Hostouň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Újezd Praha 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Rapid Psáry | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Slaný | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Baník Sokolov | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Brandýs nad Labem | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Štětí | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Karlovy Vary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Tempo Praha | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Meteor Praha | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Slovan Velvary | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 14 | Slavoj Vyšehrad | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 15 | Ostrov | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 16 | Ústí nad Labem II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.