· Analysis updated 02:42 UTC
Tenerife vs FC Andorra Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Tenerife and 1.15 for FC Andorra, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Tenerife the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.1% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tenerife home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Andorra away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tenerife to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 27% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Tenerife and 1.15 for FC Andorra, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Tenerife
- 2026-10-05T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cordoba · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Cadiz · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Castellón · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Leganes · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Sociedad II · 1-1 (D)
FC Andorra
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Castellón · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabadell · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Granada CF · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:15:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Gijon · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Sociedad II · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Eibar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Girona | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Eldense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -14 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.