Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · NOFV-Nord - 412:00

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Sunday, 13 September 2026

Anker WismarLDWLW

· Analysis updated 00:48 UTC

Tennis Borussia vs Anker Wismar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Tennis Borussia and 0.91 for Anker Wismar, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Tennis Borussia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tennis Borussia win

48.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tennis Borussia home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Anker Wismar away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tennis Borussia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 27% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.42 goals for Tennis Borussia and 0.91 for Anker Wismar, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Tennis Borussia win49%
Draw27%
Anker Wismar win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 1–013.8%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–18.9%

Recent form

Tennis Borussia

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Siedenbollentin · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anker Wismar · 1-0 (W)

Anker Wismar

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tennis Borussia win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.