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Saturday, 1 August 2026

· Analysis updated 12:27 UTC

Teplice II vs Bohemians 1905 II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Teplice II and 2.07 for Bohemians 1905 II, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Bohemians 1905 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 2.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Teplice II home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bohemians 1905 II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bohemians 1905 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 35% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.83 goals for Teplice II and 2.07 for Bohemians 1905 II, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Teplice II win35%
Draw21%
Bohemians 1905 II win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 1–35.5%

Recent form

Teplice II

  • 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 1-4 (L)

Bohemians 1905 II

  • 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.