Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · Group B - 909:00
Teplice IILLLLL

0 – 2

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Football pitch Na Stinadlech - Artificial Grass · Analysis updated 09:52 UTC

Teplice II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Teplice II and 1.59 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Teplice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.59

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Teplice II home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teplice II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Teplice II and 1.59 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Teplice II win41%
Draw23%
Neratovice-Byškovice win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%

Recent form

Teplice II

  • 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 1-4 (L)

Neratovice-Byškovice

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    3. liga - CFL B table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Jablonec II128311927
    2Mladá Boleslav II128222126
    3Sokol Zápy12732924
    4Benátky nad Jizerou12561921
    5Pardubice II116231520
    6Varnsdorf11533118
    7Baník Souš12516516
    8Neratovice-Byškovice12444-216
    9Čáslav11425-1014
    10Hradec Králové II12345-113
    11Teplice II12417-613
    12Chrudim12345-1013
    13Slovan Liberec II11326-811
    14Horní Ředice10307-139
    15Sokol Brozany12156-98
    16Velké Hamry12228-208

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

    A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.