Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · Group B - 209:00
Teplice IIWLLLL

5 – 2

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Football pitch Na Stinadlech - Artificial Grass · Analysis updated 16:43 UTC

Teplice II vs Sokol Brozany Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.92 expected goals for Teplice II and 1.26 for Sokol Brozany, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Teplice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Teplice II win

52.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.92 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Teplice II home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sokol Brozany away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teplice II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.92 goals for Teplice II and 1.26 for Sokol Brozany, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Teplice II win53%
Draw22%
Sokol Brozany win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–26.3%

Recent form

Teplice II

  • 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 1-4 (L)

Sokol Brozany

  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Ředice · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mladá Boleslav II128222126
2Jablonec II117311624
3Sokol Zápy117311324
4Benátky nad Jizerou12561921
5Pardubice II105231117
6Baník Souš11515716
7Neratovice-Byškovice12444-216
8Varnsdorf10433015
9Čáslav11425-1014
10Teplice II11416-313
11Chrudim12345-1013
12Slovan Liberec II11326-811
13Hradec Králové II11245-310
14Horní Ředice10307-139
15Sokol Brozany11155-88
16Velké Hamry12228-208

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Teplice II win, at 52.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.