· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC
Teplice U19 vs Karviná U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.49 expected goals for Teplice U19 and 1.54 for Karviná U19, a combined total of 5.03. That distribution gives Teplice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Teplice U19 win
73.9% probability
Expected goals
3.49 – 1.54
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Teplice U19 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Teplice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 13% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.49 goals for Teplice U19 and 1.54 for Karviná U19, a combined 5.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 75%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.1%
- 4–16.2%
- 2–16.1%
- 3–25.5%
- 4–24.8%
Recent form
Teplice U19
- 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 6-2 (W)
Karviná U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Opava U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice U19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Dukla Praha U19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha U19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Pardubice U19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Slovácko U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karviná U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Zlín U19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 16 | Slavia Praha U19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Teplice U19 win, at 73.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.