Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 909:00
Teplice U19WWLDL

1 – 1

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

· Analysis updated 20:54 UTC

Teplice U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.11 expected goals for Teplice U19 and 1.47 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined total of 4.58. That distribution gives Teplice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Teplice U19 win

70.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.11 – 1.47

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Teplice U19 home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavia Praha U19 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teplice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 15% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.11 goals for Teplice U19 and 1.47 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined 4.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Teplice U19 win70%
Draw15%
Slavia Praha U19 win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

30%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals67%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 3–17.6%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 4–15.9%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 2–25.3%

Recent form

Teplice U19

  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 6-2 (W)

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahce U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabah U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Teplice U19 win, at 70.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.