Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 508:30
Teplice U19WWLDL

6 – 2

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC

Teplice U19 vs Slovácko U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.21 expected goals for Teplice U19 and 1.90 for Slovácko U19, a combined total of 5.11. That distribution gives Teplice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Teplice U19 win

63.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.21 – 1.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Teplice U19 home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Teplice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 16% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.21 goals for Teplice U19 and 1.90 for Slovácko U19, a combined 5.11 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 81%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Match result (1X2)

Teplice U19 win64%
Draw16%
Slovácko U19 win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals74%
Both teams to score81%

Correct score

  • 3–16.3%
  • 3–26.0%
  • 2–15.9%
  • 2–25.6%
  • 4–15.1%

Recent form

Teplice U19

  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 6-2 (W)

Slovácko U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Teplice U19 win, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

    A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.