Teplice vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Teplice and 1.60 for Sigma Olomouc, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Teplice home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sigma Olomouc away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sigma Olomouc to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 37% / 24% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Teplice and 1.60 for Sigma Olomouc, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Teplice win37%

Draw24%

Sigma Olomouc win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.6%
1–28.5%
2–18.2%
0–16.9%
1–06.6%

Recent form

Teplice

2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Jablonec · 2-0 (W)

Sigma Olomouc

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Prostějov · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Czech Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	10	8	2	0	20	26
2	Slovan Liberec	10	6	2	2	7	20
3	Sparta Praha	10	6	0	4	8	18
4	Mlada Boleslav	9	5	2	2	5	17
5	Sigma Olomouc	10	5	2	3	3	17
6	FK Jablonec	10	5	2	3	3	17
7	Teplice	10	5	2	3	2	17
8	Zbrojovka Brno	10	5	1	4	-1	16
9	Hradec Králové	10	4	2	4	-3	14
10	Plzen	10	3	4	3	3	13
11	Bohemians 1905	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Baník Ostrava	10	3	1	6	-11	10
13	Artis	10	2	2	6	-9	8
14	Pardubice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Slovácko	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Zlin	10	0	1	9	-12	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.