Malaysia · Super League · Regular Season - 113:00

13:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium · Analysis updated 05:31 UTC

Terengganu vs Melaka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Terengganu and 1.18 for Melaka, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Terengganu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Terengganu or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Terengganu win44%
Draw26%
Melaka win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Terengganu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Terengganu and 1.18 for Melaka, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Terengganu or Draw is the headline pick at 70% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Terengganu

    Melaka

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Super League table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1DPMM FC Brunei000000
      2Selangor000000
      3Terengganu000000
      4Johor Darul Takzim FC000000
      5Negeri Sembilan000000
      6Kuala Lumpur FA000000
      7Penang000000
      8Sabah FA000000
      9Kuching FA000000
      10Imigresen000000
      11Melaka000000
      12Kelantan Red Warrior FC000000

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.