Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium · Referee H. Amir · Analysis updated 08:53 UTC
Terengganu vs Negeri Sembilan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Terengganu and 1.65 for Negeri Sembilan, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Negeri Sembilan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.4% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Terengganu home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Negeri Sembilan away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Terengganu
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs DPMM FC Brunei · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Imigresen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T12:15:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Penang · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Selangor · 0-3 (L)
Negeri Sembilan
- 2026-09-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Johor Darul Takzim FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Kelantan City · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Imigresen · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kelantan City · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Melaka · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 2-2 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
- 2025-11-22T09:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 1-1 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
- 2025-02-09T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 2-0 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
- 2024-12-21T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 4-2 Negeri Sembilan (Malaysia Cup)
- 2024-12-14T09:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 2-0 Negeri Sembilan (Malaysia Cup)
- 2024-07-30T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 3-2 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
- 2023-07-28T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 1-1 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
- 2023-03-16T12:15:00.000Z · Terengganu 1-2 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
- 2023-01-31T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 0-0 Negeri Sembilan (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-07-27T13:00:00.000Z · Terengganu 1-2 Negeri Sembilan (Super League)
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 |
| 2 | Selangor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Kuching FA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Sabah FA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Melaka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kuala Lumpur FA | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 8 | Negeri Sembilan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Terengganu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Imigresen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Penang | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.