· Analysis updated 14:53 UTC
Terre Sainte vs Yverdon Sport Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Terre Sainte and 2.02 for Yverdon Sport, a combined total of 2.94. That distribution gives Yverdon Sport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Yverdon Sport win
62.9% probability
Expected goals
0.92 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Terre Sainte home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Yverdon Sport away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Yverdon Sport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 16% / 21% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for Terre Sainte and 2.02 for Yverdon Sport, a combined 2.94 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.7%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–37.2%
Recent form
Terre Sainte
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Yverdon Sport · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Lancy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Amical Saint-Prex · 1-9 (L)
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy III · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Martigny Sports · 0-3 (L)
Yverdon Sport
- 2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Grasshoppers · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapperswil · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Nyonnais · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-01T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Neuchatel Xamax FC · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Yverdon Sport win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.