Stadiumi Niko Dovana · Analysis updated 13:31 UTC
Teuta Durrës vs Vora Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Teuta Durrës and 0.73 for Vora, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Teuta Durrës the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Teuta Durrës win
73.3% probability
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Teuta Durrës home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vora away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 3–09.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.0%
Recent form
Teuta Durrës
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Skenderbeu Korce · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Kukesi · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Vllaznia Shkodër · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Vora · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laci · 3-1 (W)
Vora
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs AF Elbasani · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Korabi Peshkopi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Skenderbeu Korce · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Teuta Durrës · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tirana · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · Teuta Durrës 2-0 Vora (Superliga)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · Teuta Durrës 0-1 Vora (Superliga)
- 2026-01-25T12:30:00.000Z · Teuta Durrës 1-1 Vora (Superliga)
- 2026-01-10T15:00:00.000Z · Teuta Durrës 2-0 Vora (Cup)
- 2025-11-22T15:00:00.000Z · Teuta Durrës 1-0 Vora (Superliga)
- 2025-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · Teuta Durrës 1-1 Vora (Superliga)
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teuta Durrës | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tirana | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Tirana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Vora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Laci | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Skenderbeu Korce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 10 | Partizani | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Teuta Durrës win, at 73.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.