· Analysis updated 21:43 UTC
Tevragh-Zeïne vs SNIM Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Tevragh-Zeïne and 0.58 for SNIM, a combined total of 1.28. That distribution gives Tevragh-Zeïne the largest share of the 1X2 market at 34%, with the draw at 40%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 14% for over 2.5 goals and 22% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 28%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 34% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
74.1% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 0.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tevragh-Zeïne home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SNIM away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 34% / 40% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Tevragh-Zeïne and 0.58 for SNIM, a combined 1.28 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
60%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–027.9%
- 1–019.6%
- 0–116.1%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–06.8%
Recent form
Tevragh-Zeïne
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs N'Zidane · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-24T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Ksar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · H vs SNIM · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs N'Zidane · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-05T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Pompiers · 1-1 (D)
SNIM
- 2026-05-24T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Nouakchott Academie · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Tevragh-Zeïne · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Pompiers · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-06T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Inter Nouakchott · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs AC Douane · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N'Zidane | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Police | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Pompiers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Gendrim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Armée | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | SNIM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Chemal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Nouadhibou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nouakchott Academie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tevragh-Zeïne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Nouakchott King's | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kaédi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Kédia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | AC Douane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 74.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 22% and over 2.5 goals at 14%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.