· Analysis updated 13:05 UTC
Thai Nguyen vs Bóng đá Huế Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for Thai Nguyen and 1.01 for Bóng đá Huế, a combined total of 3.96. That distribution gives Thai Nguyen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Thai Nguyen win
76.5% probability
Expected goals
2.95 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Thai Nguyen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 14% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.95 goals for Thai Nguyen and 1.01 for Bóng đá Huế, a combined 3.96 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 77% with high confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
24%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–18.2%
- 3–08.1%
- 4–16.1%
Recent form
Thai Nguyen
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bóng đá Huế · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Dong Thap · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Binh Dinh · 2-1 (W)
Bóng đá Huế
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
V.League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thai Nguyen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Hung Yen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Binh Duong | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Pho Hien | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Văn Hiến | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dong Thap | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Than Quang Ninh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Binh Dinh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ho Chi Minh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Lam Dong | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Bóng đá Huế | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 13 | Long An | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Thai Nguyen win, at 76.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.