· Analysis updated 14:11 UTC
Thailand U17 vs Kuwait U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Thailand U17 and 1.77 for Kuwait U17, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Kuwait U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.5% probability
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.77
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Thailand U17 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuwait U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 38% / 22% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.71 goals for Thailand U17 and 1.77 for Kuwait U17, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.5%
Recent form
Thailand U17
- 2026-05-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Myanmar U17 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Saudi Arabia U17 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tajikistan U17 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-11-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuwait U17 · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-11-28T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Turkmenistan U17 · 2-3 (L)
Kuwait U17
- 2025-11-30T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Thailand U17 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-28T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Maldives U17 · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-11-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Mongolia U17 · 5-0 (W)
- 2025-11-22T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Turkmenistan U17 · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-10-27T16:30:00.000Z · H vs N. Mariana Islands U17 · 9-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.