· Analysis updated 01:18 UTC
Thun II vs FC Wohlen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Thun II and 1.20 for FC Wohlen, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Thun II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Thun II win
45.4% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Thun II home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Wohlen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Thun II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 25% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Thun II and 1.20 for FC Wohlen, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.7%
Recent form
Thun II
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 5-6 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Schötz · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Wohlen · 1-1 (D)
FC Wohlen
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bassecourt · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Baden · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Langenthal · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-30T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Schötz · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Buochs · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langenthal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Courtételle | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Schötz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Muttenz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Solothurn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Delémont | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Concordia Basel | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Buochs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Muri-Gümligen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Grasshopper II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Zug | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Bassecourt | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Thun II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Wohlen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Black Stars | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Münsingen | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Thun II win, at 45.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.