· Analysis updated 14:57 UTC
Thy ThistedQ W vs B 93 W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Thy ThistedQ W and 1.68 for B 93 W, a combined total of 4.14. That distribution gives Thy ThistedQ W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Thy ThistedQ W win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Thy ThistedQ W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
B 93 W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Thy ThistedQ W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 19% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for Thy ThistedQ W and 1.68 for B 93 W, a combined 4.14 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.1%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.6%
- 1–16.6%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Thy ThistedQ W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Esbjerg W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Naestved W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs B 93 W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Osterbro W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs AaB W · 6-3 (W)
B 93 W
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Osterbro W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AaB W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Viborg W · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-06-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Thy ThistedQ W win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.